Given: P(T1)=10020,P(T2)=10080
P(D)=1007,P(D∣T1)=10P(D∣T2)
To find: P(T2∣Dc)
P(T2∣Dc)=P(Dc)P(T2)P(Dc∣T2)
Let P(D∣T2)=x⇒P(D∣T1)=10x
P(D)=P(T1)P(D∣T1)+P(T2)P(D∣T2)
0.2(10x)+0.8x=0.07
2.8x=0.07⇒x=2.80.07=0.025=401
P(D∣T2)=401,P(D∣T1)=10x=41
P(D)=0.2×41+0.8×401
=0.05+0.02=0.07 ✓
P(Dc)=1−P(D)=1−0.07=0.93
P(T2∩Dc)=P(T2)P(Dc∣T2)=0.8×0.975=0.78
P(T2∣Dc)=0.930.78=9378=3126
Answer: 9378=3126⇒option (3)